Wolf vs. Sheep

Kevin Hall
Biology, Environmental Science, Self-directed
1-2 (45 minute) class period
High School General Biology
v1

Overview

They will look at single population of organisms and investigate how population growth is influenced by limiting factors such as resources. Using this NetLogo model they will be able to visualize some of the factors that lead to the formation of a carrying capacity for organism within a defined area. Students will then simulate how carrying capacity is affected by the introduction of a predator to the system and will also be able to see the dynamic interaction between these two organisms over the course of a large time scale.

Standards

Next Generation Science Standards
  • Life Science
    • [HS-LS2] Ecosystems: Interactions, Energy, and Dynamics
  • NGSS Crosscutting Concept
    • Systems
    • Stability and Change
  • NGSS Practice
    • Using Models
Computational Thinking in STEM
  • Data Practices
    • Creating Data
  • Modeling and Simulation Practices
    • Assessing Computational Models
    • Using Computational Models to Understand a Concept

Activities

  • 1. Introduction to Model
  • 2. 1st Run
  • 3. Limited Resources
  • 4. Stabilizing the System
  • 5. Challenge
  • 6. Conclusion

Student Directions and Resources


Students will look at single population of organisms and investigate how population growth is influenced by limiting factors such as resources. Using this NetLogo model they will be able to visualize some of the factors that lead to the formation of a carrying capacity for organism within a defined area. Students will then simulate how carrying capacity is affected by the introduction of a predator to the system and will also be able to see the dynamic interaction between these two organisms over the course of a large time scale.

1. Introduction to Model


The Wolf-Sheep Predation NetLogo model simulates the interactions between predator and prey within an ecosystem. These systems are looked at as being stable if these populations are able to maintain a relatively steady population over time, whereas an unstable system will result in the extinction in one or more of the populations.

There are two main variations to this model that you will be working with:

In the first variation, wolves and sheep wander randomly around the landscape, while the wolves look for sheep to prey on. Each step costs the wolves energy, and they must eat sheep in order to renew their energy. If wolves are unable to catch enough sheep, they will die. At each time interval both wolves and sheep have a fixed probability of reproducing, depending on the corresponding sliders.

The second variation includes grass (green) in addition to wolves and sheep. The behavior of the wolves is identical to the first variation, however this time the sheep must also eat grass in order to maintain their energy, if they don’t they will die. Grass that is eaten by sheep will regrow after a fixed amount of time depending on the grass regrowth time slider.

Basics of the model

  1. Set the GRASS? switch to ON to include grass in the model, or to OFF to only include wolves (red) and sheep (white).

  2. Use the default slider settings.

  3. Go ahead and hit the "set up" button.

  4. Answer the questions before hitting "go"

  5. Press the GO button to begin the simulation.

  6. Look at the monitors to see the current population sizes.

  7. On the top of the world view you will see the word “ticks” with a number next to it. Each tick represents a unit of time passing by.

  8. Look at the POPULATIONS plot to watch the populations fluctuate over time.

The behaviors of these organisms are influenced by changing the values of the green sliders. Go ahead and mess around with the model and sliders to get used to interacting with it.


Question 1.1

What does the red line in the graph represnt? 



Question 1.2

What does the blue line in the graph represnt?



Question 1.3

What variable is plotted on the x axis?



Question 1.4

What variable is plotted on the y-axis?



Question 1.5

What variables are you able to change in this simulation?
 



2. 1st Run


Make sure the "grass?" option is unchecked. When you are ready to run the simulation, click ‘Go’ to start. NOTE: If at anytime you hit ‘Go’ again, this will pause the simulation.  After pausing, hitting ‘Setup’ will clear your simulation and return your initial settings.

Pay attention the increasing number of ‘ticks’.

Let the simulation run for at least 300 ticks and observe the interactions of the wolf and sheep over that time. If either of the animals die off click "go" to pause the simulation.


Question 2.1

When the lines on the graph intersect the first time, how many sheep are present? You can hover your cursor over the lines on the graph to get exact numbers.



Question 2.2

Which of the populations increase first? Explain why you think this might be the case.



Question 2.3

Looking at the graph, do the peaks (highest point) of the animal populations overlap? If not describe what you see.



Question 2.4

Would you describe this as being a stable or unstable ecosystem? Explain



3. Limited Resources


Change the "grass?" setting to on. Keep all other settings the same.

Hit "setup" and "run". Then let the sim run for 300 ticks before hitting "go" and answering the questions.

 


Question 3.1

Explain the difference to the ecosystem when grass is turned on vs. turned off.



Question 3.2

Explain how grass indirectly affects the population of wolves. Use the simulation to help explain your claim.



Question 3.3

Describe the relationship between the sheep and grass population over time. Be very detailed in your description.



Question 3.4

Would you describe this ecosystem as stable or unstable. Explain why or why not.



Question 3.5

 What would happen if another sheep predator was added to the habitat. Describe the effect on the sheep as well as the wolf population.



4. Stabilizing the System


As stated earlier, a stable system will tend to have a relatively steady population over the course of time vs. an unstable population which results in the extinction of one or more of the populations.

Your challenge at this point is to turn the unlimited grass ecosystem into a stable system that allows for continuous generations of both wolves and sheep for at least 300 ticks.

The variable "grass?" must be unchecked.


Question 4.1

Which specific variable(s) did you change and how did you change them?



Question 4.2

Explain why you made these changes.  How do you think these changes helped to stabilize the ecosystem?



5. Challenge


Find three different ways that you can manipulate the simulation so that both populations die off. When you figure this out, describe the variable that you changed for each situation, and then explain why you think both populations were not able to survive.


Question 5.1

Situation 1



Question 5.2

Situation 2



Question 5.3

Situation 3



6. Conclusion



Question 6.1

Which graph best illustrates the sheep population given no predators and unlimited resources?

You may click the images below to view a larger version
  A.
  B.
  C.
  D.


Question 6.2

Which graph most closely illustrates a stable system?

You may click the images below to view a larger version
  A.
  B.
  C.
  D.


Question 6.3

Natural populations are subject to many pressures and disturbances in their habitats.  Describe 3 different disturbances that would affect the wolf or sheep populations.  Specifically mention how each disturbance affects the population.



Question 6.4

Describe the different outcomes that happen when all of the sheep die off versus when all of the wolves die off.



Question 6.5

List 3 reasons why scientist might use a model like this.



Question 6.6

Describe 3 limitations of using a model like this to make predictions about what could happen in the real world.