Preview - From Ecosystems To Speciation

Population Dynamics


Think back to the activity in Lesson 1 where you modeled a simple ecosystem consisting of predators (wolves) and prey (moose).  As you may have observed during that activity, predator and prey populations oscillate  over time.  A graph of population data from Isle Royale is shown below as an example of these oscillations.  Two scientists (Lotka and Volterra) modeled these oscillations using differential equations.  A graph of these equations is provided for comparison.

The equations used in this model state that these population oscillations are based on the birth and death rates of the predators and prey.  The model also claims that the prey death rate and the predator birth rate are proportional to the number of prey caught by the predators.


Questions

Please answer the questions below.

Based on the two graphs shown above, do you think the Lotka-Volterra equation-based model accurately describes how predator and prey populations oscillate? Why or why not?  Describe the similarities and differences you see between the model and the actual data.


Do you think the assumptions of the equation-based model are realistic? Can you think of any other factors that might influence the birth and death rates?  If so, provide them below.


Notes

These notes will appear on every page in this lesson so feel free to put anything here you'd like to keep track of.